New Independent Poll: Jack Conway and Rand Paul Are Tied

A new CNN/Time poll that’s newer than the SurveyUSA shows that Democratic Senate candidate Jack Conway is tied dead even at 46 % with Rand Paul.

A new poll indicates that the battle for Kentucky’s open Senate seat is dead even. For the pdf, click here. And Lexington and Frankfort are Ground Zero in the battle this year for the senate.

From CNN’s blog:

According to a new CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation survey of registered voters in Kentucky, 46 percent support Republican nominee Rand Paul, with an equal amount saying they back Democratic nominee Jack Conway. Five percent of those questioned say they’d vote for neither candidate if the general election were held today, and four percent have no opinion.
“Not surprisingly, Paul is winning among conservatives by more than 40 points,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “But Conway has a 22-point advantage among moderates.”

“The area around Lexington and Frankfort in the central part of the state looks like it will be the real battleground in Kentucky this year,” Holland adds. “The two candidates are essentially tied there – 47 percent for Paul and 45 percent for Conway.”
The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted September 2-7, with 869 registered voters in Kentucky questioned by telephone. The survey’s overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

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5 Responses to New Independent Poll: Jack Conway and Rand Paul Are Tied

  1. Dubious says:

    Too bad the CNN/Time poll is called an ‘outlier’ by CNN/Time itself, ‘even amongst registered voter [rather than likely voter] polls’.

    And even WITH it, Rand Paul leads by 8.8 points according to RCP (of CNN/Time).

  2. LumberJock says:

    Count the votes early. I strongly suspect that it’s the only time you’ll be ahead.

  3. Roy V says:

    Curiouser and curiouser…. what happened to that 15 point lead?

    And what happened to our entertainment? Did Mitch tie a knot in his tongue? Come on Rand, say something/take a stand on something… anything… how about UFOs? Bigfoot?

  4. LumberJock says:

    This is howdy-doodoo-ty at his best. A press conference during the picnic. Were I an editor, I wouldn’t send a reporter to paul’s press conf. If no reporters, no cover, it’s not news. Up side to this … paul will pull a gaff sooner than if left to howdy’s gob-stopping.

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